Impact of Mandatory Lock-in Expirations on Pre-IPO Shares

Those mandatory lock-ins on that $69 billion in pre-IPO shares—across eighty-seven companies—are all set to expire in the next three months. Nuvama Alternative & Quantitative Research says that means these shares become eligible for trading. Potential supply in the market is definitely going up.
The first bit of this whole thing already happened. ICICI Prudential AMC shares, about seventy lakh shares, or one percent of the equity, got unlocked on March 17.
Then there are more moves coming up. Later this month, you’ll see KSH International and Gujarat Kidney & Super Speciality letting four to six percent of their equity float. Gaudium IVF and Women Health will also see about thirty lakh shares, four percent of equity, freed up on March 27.
These were just the first wave, of course. They were subject to shorter lock-in periods, one to three months.
A bigger wave is expected when you look at the shares with six-month or longer lock-ins.
Urban Company is taking up the biggest chunk of this. Ninety-four point one crore shares—that’s nearly sixty-six percent of its outstanding equity—became tradable starting March 17.
GK Energy, with thirteen point one crore shares, sixty-five percent—and Euro Pratik Sales, sixty-three crore shares, sixty-two percent—they’re also seeing a significant amount of shares unlocked.
But here’s where things get complicated. Even with this huge amount of shares becoming available, analysts are cautious. They think the actual selling pressure might be limited.
Abhilash Pagaria from Nuvama put it this way: the actual supply might be lower because a lot of those shares are still held by the promoters.
Kamraj Singh Negi, who is the MD and CEO for Investment Banking at Pantomath Capital Advisors, echoed that sentiment. He noted that a sudden rush by investors to sell immediately after the lock-in ends is unlikely right now.
Still, that potential supply overhang could definitely cap any near-term upside for some of these stocks.
Investor behavior is going to hinge on how the stock performs. Look at some companies nearing expiry—Dev Accelerator, GK Energy, Ivalue Infosolutions—they are currently trading below their issue price. That might stop people from selling aggressively.
On the flip side, you have ICICI Prudential AMC and Bharat Coking Coal. They keep trading at a premium. You can’t rule out profit-booking happening there.
Overall, you get a lot of potential supply flowing in with these lock-in expirations. But the real market impact? That depends entirely on investor mood, how the stocks move, and what’s happening in the wider market. It’s all mixed up.
Written by Gree News Team — Senior Editorial Board
Gree News Team covers international news and global affairs at Gree News. Our collective of senior editors is dedicated to providing independent, accurate, and responsible journalism for a global audience.
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